
Will Zambia be classified as an authoritarian regime by the end of 2032?
Zambia is currently classified as a hybrid/partly free political system by some international assessments. This market asks whether that classification will shift to an authoritarian regime by the end of 2031.
- YES—
- NO—
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Resolution Rules
This market resolves based on Zambia's political regime classification by December 31, 2031.
YES
Resolves YES if the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) Democracy Index classifies Zambia as an authoritarian regime, or an equivalent classification explicitly indicating an authoritarian political regime, in its latest available assessment covering 2031.
NO
Resolves NO if Zambia is not classified as an authoritarian regime by the EIU Democracy Index in its latest available assessment covering 2031.
Resolution Source
The primary resolution source is the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) Democracy Index.
If the EIU Democracy Index is unavailable for the relevant period, a comparable internationally recognized democracy index may be used.
The market concerns the political regime classification of Zambia, not individual political leaders, parties, election results, or isolated government actions.
The market will resolve using the latest applicable assessment published by December 31, 2031.